←All events
Politics · 6 markets

France United Left Primary Winner

Vol total$235K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$131K
Resolves6d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first6 questions

Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 12, 2026.

Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 12, 2026.

Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 12, 2026.

Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 12, 2026.

Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 12, 2026.

Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 12, 2026.

Resolution rules

The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election. This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify. If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.