Climate · 31 markets

First snow of the 2026 season

Vol total$2K

Vol 24h$2K

Liquidity$3K

Resolves93d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Salt Lake City, UT by October 31

$225 vol

41.0%

chance

Yes 41¢ · No 59¢

🎯

Dallas, TX by November 30

$219 vol

9.0%

chance

Yes 9¢ · No 91¢

🎯

Indianapolis, IN by November 15

$141 vol

66.0%

chance

Yes 66¢ · No 34¢

🎯

Indianapolis, IN by November 30

$137 vol

85.5%

chance

Yes 86¢ · No 14¢

🎯

Chicago, IL by November 15

$123 vol

69.5%

chance

Yes 70¢ · No 31¢

🎯

Denver, CO by November 15

$122 vol

90.0%

chance

Yes 90¢ · No 10¢

🎯

Minneapolis, MN by October 31

$106 vol

54.5%

chance

Yes 55¢ · No 46¢

🎯

Denver, CO by October 31

$100 vol

72.0%

chance

Yes 72¢ · No 28¢

🎯

Detroit, MI by November 30

$82 vol

73.0%

chance

Yes 73¢ · No 27¢

🎯

Kansas City, MO by November 30

$80 vol

72.0%

chance

Yes 72¢ · No 28¢

🎯

Boston, MA by November 15

$60 vol

29.5%

chance

Yes 30¢ · No 71¢

🎯

Denver, CO by November 30

$59 vol

92.0%

chance

Yes 92¢ · No 8¢

🎯

Minneapolis, MN by November 15

$58 vol

85.0%

chance

Yes 85¢ · No 15¢

🎯

Minneapolis, MN by November 30

$43 vol

91.5%

chance

Yes 92¢ · No 9¢

🎯

Buffalo, NY by November 15

$42 vol

83.5%

chance

Yes 84¢ · No 17¢

🎯

Kansas City, MO by November 15

$42 vol

29.0%

chance

Yes 29¢ · No 71¢

🎯

Nashville, TN by November 30

$40 vol

28.5%

chance

Yes 28¢ · No 72¢

🎯

Washington, DC by November 30

$40 vol

26.5%

chance

Yes 27¢ · No 74¢

🎯

Philadelphia, PA by November 30

$36 vol

42.0%

chance

Yes 42¢ · No 58¢

🎯

Salt Lake City, UT by November 15

$20 vol

75.0%

chance

Yes 75¢ · No 25¢

🎯

Boston, MA by November 30

$20 vol

75.0%

chance

Yes 75¢ · No 25¢

🎯

Detroit, MI by November 15

$20 vol

72.5%

chance

Yes 73¢ · No 28¢

🎯

Pittsburgh, PA by November 15

$20 vol

73.0%

chance

Yes 73¢ · No 27¢

🎯

Chicago, IL by November 30

$20 vol

92.0%

chance

Yes 92¢ · No 8¢

🎯

Cincinnati, OH by November 30

$20 vol

74.5%

chance

Yes 75¢ · No 26¢

🎯

New York City, NY by November 30

$20 vol

75.5%

chance

Yes 76¢ · No 25¢

🎯

Pittsburgh, PA by November 30

$20 vol

75.5%

chance

Yes 76¢ · No 25¢

🎯

St. Louis, MO by November 30

$20 vol

75.5%

chance

Yes 76¢ · No 25¢

🎯

Salt Lake City, UT by November 30

$19 vol

90.5%

chance

Yes 91¢ · No 10¢

🎯

Buffalo, NY by October 31

$0 vol

51.5%

chance

Yes 52¢ · No 49¢

🎯

Buffalo, NY by November 30

$0 vol

93.0%

chance

Yes 93¢ · No 7¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records any snowfall, including trace, between market creation and the listed deadline, 11:59 PM local time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The observation day is each station's National Weather Service climate day (midnight to midnight local time). Each market resolves as soon as its outcome is determined - "Yes" as soon as a report shows snowfall, or "No" as soon as a report has been published for every day of its window. Because the final climate report for a day is issued the following morning, each market carries a resolution date 3 days after its deadline as an outer limit for that publication lag, not a waiting period: October 31, 2026 (by November 3, 2026); November 15, 2026 (by November 18, 2026); November 30, 2026 (by December 3, 2026). Each market's resolution source is that city's NWS Daily Climate Report, linked in that market's details. Those pages show the latest report only; past daily reports for every city are archived on the Iowa Environmental Mesonet at https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/.