Politics · 10 markets

Federal District Governor Election Winner

Vol total$1K

Vol 24h$0

Liquidity$6K

Resolves46d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Celina Leão

$684 vol

82.5%

chance

Yes 83¢ · No 18¢

🎯

Expedito Mendonça

$103 vol

4.8%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

🎯

Professor Robson

$81 vol

3.4%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

🎯

Elisson

$80 vol

5.6%

chance

Yes 6¢ · No 94¢

🎯

Kiko Caputo

$64 vol

4.9%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

🎯

Leandro Grass

$64 vol

6.0%

chance

Yes 6¢ · No 94¢

🎯

Arruda

$60 vol

5.3%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

🎯

Cappelli

$60 vol

5.5%

chance

Yes 6¢ · No 94¢

🎯

Paula Belmonte

$60 vol

4.7%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

🎯

Professora Samara Mineiro

$60 vol

3.5%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 97¢

Resolution rules

The Federal District gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).