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Politics · binary

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$9K
Resolves104d

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Prediction

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

$

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

If Yes wins
you get
$34.48
$5.00 stake back + $29.48 profit
34.48 shares$0.1450 each
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Price history-35.00% · 1W
8%22%37%51%65%Sep 19Sep 19Sep 19Sep 19Sep 19Sep 19

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Russian ambassador is expelled from any European Union member state by the government of that state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by an EU member state requiring the Russian Ambassador to leave that state, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to the relevant state will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the expelling country and Russia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.