Closest Governor's Race?
Will Nevada be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Georgia be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Florida be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Iowa be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Oregon be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Alaska be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will New Hampshire be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Texas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Kansas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Wisconsin be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Vermont be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will California be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Tennessee be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will New Mexico be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Arizona be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Minnesota be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Michigan be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Maine be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Arkansas be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Illinois be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Pennsylvania be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Rhode Island be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will South Carolina be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Colorado be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Alabama be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Nebraska be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Hawaii be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Idaho be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Maryland be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Massachusetts be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Oklahoma be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will South Dakota be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Wyoming be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will New York be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Will Connecticut be the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Resolution rules
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the US State gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically. This market will consider all regular and special gubernatorial elections that are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. For the purposes of this market, US State is defined to exclude territories, the District of Columbia, and any other subdivision that is not a state. The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

