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Culture · 2 markets

Clavicular arrested by...?

Vol total$5K
Vol 24h$5K
Liquidity$5K
Resolves9d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first2 questions

🍂Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Nov 1, 2026.

🎯Will Clavicular be arrested by September 25?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 1, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clavicular, otherwise known as Braden Peters, is arrested between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest occurs when Clavicular is taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities in any jurisdiction, voluntarily or involuntarily, and at least one of the following is true: (i) he is criminally booked or processed; (ii) he is taken into custody in response to a criminal arrest warrant, criminal charge, indictment, or equivalent criminal charging instrument; (iii) he is held for arraignment, bail, extradition, or other criminal court proceedings other than as a witness; or (iv) he is transported to a police station or equivalent criminal law enforcement center. An arrest arising from any matter will qualify, whether or not it relates to the charges pending against him in Massachusetts. The issuance of an arrest warrant, being named in an indictment, or being charged without Clavicular being taken into physical custody will not qualify. Appearing at a scheduled court date in response to a summons, including a scheduled arraignment, will not qualify unless he is taken into physical custody. The following will not qualify on their own: brief detention, being interviewed or questioned, being searched, house arrest, electronic monitoring, protective custody, witness protection, or medical holds. Any arrest occurring before market creation will not qualify. Release on bail, recognizance, bond, dismissal of charges, withdrawal of charges, acquittal, pardon, or any other post-arrest development will not affect resolution once a qualifying arrest has occurred. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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