Politics · 9 markets

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?

Vol total$60K

Vol 24h$606

Liquidity$12K

Resolves16d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first9 questions

Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 21, 2026.

Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 21, 2026.

Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.3%?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 21, 2026.

Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 21, 2026.

Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.7% and 4.0%?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 21, 2026.

Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 5.2% and 5.5%?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 21, 2026.

Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 3.4%?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 20, 2026.

Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.7%?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 21, 2026.

Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 5.5%?decided · No

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 21, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate (%) of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 20, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/202512/t20251226_1962154.html