←All events
Politics · binary

China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

Vol total$8K
Vol 24h$690
Liquidity$10K
Resolves133d

Place your bet

Prediction

China ballistic missile launch by December 31?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.1800
Shares (est)27.78
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$22.78
If Yes wins pays$27.78
Connecting your wallet… (usually under 2s)

You sign every order from your embedded wallet. Vectorial Data never holds your funds.

Price history-0.50% · 1W
15%16%18%19%21%Aug 14Aug 15Aug 17Aug 18Aug 19Aug 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution. The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.