All events
Politics · 18 markets

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Vol total$551K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$596K
Resolves46d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇧🇷
Renan Santos
$184K vol·-6%·7d
57.0%
chance
Yes 57¢ · No 43¢
🇧🇷
Ronaldo Caiado
$54K vol·+5%·7d
36.5%
chance
Yes 37¢ · No 64¢
🇧🇷
Flávio Bolsonaro
$25K vol·+1%·7d
3.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇧🇷
Romeu Zema
$23K vol·+1%·7d
4.9%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇧🇷
Ratinho Júnior
$104K vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$46K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Fernando Haddad
$22K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$14K vol
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇧🇷
Camilo Santana
$13K vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Michelle Bolsonaro
$13K vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Geraldo Alckmin
$11K vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Aldo Rebelo
$10K vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Eduardo Leite
$9K vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Tarcisio de Freitas
$9K vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Jair Bolsonaro
$8K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Tereza Cristina
$4K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Helder Barbalho
$3K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Augusto Cury
$0 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).