All events
Politics · 17 markets

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Vol total$4.9M
Vol 24h$27K
Liquidity$1.9M
Resolves46d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇧🇷
Renan Santos
$1.1M vol·-4%·7d
4.3%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇧🇷
Flávio Bolsonaro
$304K vol·+6%·7d
87.0%
chance
Yes 87¢ · No 13¢
🇧🇷
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$270K vol·+2%·7d
7.2%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🇧🇷
Fernando Haddad
$746K vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Ratinho Júnior
$684K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Ronaldo Caiado
$367K vol·-1%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Romeu Zema
$316K vol·-0%·7d
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Tarcisio de Freitas
$211K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Geraldo Alckmin
$164K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Michelle Bolsonaro
$153K vol·-0%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Jair Bolsonaro
$141K vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Camilo Santana
$129K vol·+0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$112K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Eduardo Leite
$81K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Aldo Rebelo
$74K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Tereza Cristina
$36K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Helder Barbalho
$21K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).