All events
Politics · 13 markets

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in São Paulo

Vol total$8K
Vol 24h$850
Liquidity$16K
Resolves46d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇧🇷
Flavio Bolsonaro
$3K vol
87.5%
chance
Yes 88¢ · No 13¢
🎯
Lula
$1K vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🇧🇷
Renan Santos
$447 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Zema
$404 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Rui Costa Pimenta
$385 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Edmilson Costa
$384 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Clariana Barao
$384 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Hertz Dias
$379 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Samara
$376 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Pablo Marçal
$345 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Escritor Augusto Cury
$344 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$310 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Ronaldo Caiado
$255 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in São Paulo, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from São Paulo. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in São Paulo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).