All events
Politics · 13 markets

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio Grande do Sul

Vol total$5K
Vol 24h$647
Liquidity$11K
Resolves46d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇧🇷
Flavio Bolsonaro
$1K vol
66.5%
chance
Yes 67¢ · No 34¢
🎯
Lula
$561 vol
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢
🇧🇷
Ronaldo Caiado
$261 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Edmilson Costa
$257 vol
2.7%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Samara
$257 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🎯
Escritor Augusto Cury
$253 vol
6.8%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🎯
Pablo Marçal
$351 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Clariana Barao
$343 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$339 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Rui Costa Pimenta
$323 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Renan Santos
$262 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Hertz Dias
$250 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Zema
$249 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio Grande do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio Grande do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).