All events
Politics · 13 markets

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Mato Grosso do Sul

Vol total$7K
Vol 24h$20
Liquidity$5K
Resolves46d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇧🇷
Flavio Bolsonaro
$4K vol
90.5%
chance
Yes 91¢ · No 10¢
🎯
Lula
$470 vol
4.6%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇧🇷
Ronaldo Caiado
$195 vol
2.9%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇧🇷
Renan Santos
$316 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Hertz Dias
$271 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Edmilson Costa
$251 vol
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Samara
$240 vol
1.6%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
Clariana Barao
$238 vol
1.7%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
Escritor Augusto Cury
$230 vol
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Rui Costa Pimenta
$191 vol
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Zema
$191 vol
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Pablo Marçal
$191 vol
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$176 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Mato Grosso do Sul, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Mato Grosso do Sul. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Mato Grosso do Sul. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).