All events
Politics · 13 markets

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Bahia

Vol total$8K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$10K
Resolves46d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Lula
$4K vol
97.0%
chance
Yes 97¢ · No 3¢
🇧🇷
Renan Santos
$339 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Pablo Marçal
$283 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇧🇷
Ronaldo Caiado
$283 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Edmilson Costa
$283 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Escritor Augusto Cury
$283 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇧🇷
Flavio Bolsonaro
$283 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Hertz Dias
$279 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Clariana Barao
$278 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Rui Costa Pimenta
$271 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Samara
$271 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$271 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Zema
$231 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bahia, Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Bahia. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Bahia. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).