Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Politics · 19 markets
Brazil Presidential Election
Vol total$166.3M
Vol 24h$2.9M
Liquidity$27.3M
Resolves1d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first19 questions
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?decided · No
YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Oct 5, 2026.
Resolution rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).