Politics · 18 markets
Brazil Presidential Election
Vol total$129.1M
Vol 24h$913K
Liquidity$12.5M
Resolves46d
Outcomes · most likely first
🇧🇷
Renan Santos
$10.1M vol·-4%·7d
4.1%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇧🇷
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$8.7M vol
63.5%
chance
Yes 64¢ · No 37¢
🇧🇷
Flávio Bolsonaro
$8.6M vol·+5%·7d
32.6%
chance
Yes 33¢ · No 67¢
🇧🇷
Tarcisio de Freitas
$13.9M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$10.4M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Ratinho Júnior
$10.4M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Michelle Bolsonaro
$10.0M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Eduardo Leite
$8.0M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Fernando Haddad
$7.3M vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Ronaldo Caiado
$6.3M vol·-1%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇧🇷
Jair Bolsonaro
$5.9M vol·-1%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Romeu Zema
$5.7M vol·-0%·7d
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Geraldo Alckmin
$5.6M vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Camilo Santana
$5.1M vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Aldo Rebelo
$4.9M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Tereza Cristina
$4.0M vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇧🇷
Helder Barbalho
$2.4M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Pablo Marçal
$1.7M vol
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
Resolution rules
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).