All events
Economy · 7 markets

Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?

Vol total$13K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$3K
Resolves78d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
0.0% to 0.2%
$8K vol
32.5%
chance
Yes 33¢ · No 68¢
🎯
-0.3% to -0.1%
$2K vol
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🎯
0.3% to 0.5%
$2K vol
27.0%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 73¢
🎯
0.9% to 1.1%
$235 vol
5.1%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
<-0.3%
$225 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
0.6% to 0.8%
$214 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🎯
≥1.2%
$202 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html

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