All events
Politics · 7 markets

Bosnia and Herzegovina Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Vol total$4K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$3K
Resolves21d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
SNSD
$3K vol
74.5%
chance
Yes 75¢ · No 26¢
🎯
SDA
$353 vol
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
🎯
NiP
$336 vol
7.2%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🎯
SDP BiH
$142 vol
14.0%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 86¢
🎯
SDS
$110 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
HDZ BiH
$108 vol
6.7%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🎯
DF
$82 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢

Resolution rules

General elections to elect the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina are scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the House of Representatives of the Parliamentary Assembly of Bosnia and Herzegovina as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Central Election Commission of Bosnia and Herzegovina (https://www.izbori.ba/).

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