All events
Politics · 6 markets

Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

Vol total$1K
Vol 24h$1K
Liquidity$3K
Resolves169d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar
$501 vol
39.0%
chance
Yes 39¢ · No 61¢
🎯
Yakubu Adamu
$339 vol
47.0%
chance
Yes 47¢ · No 53¢
🎯
Umar Shehu Buba
$146 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Usman Supi
$38 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim
$38 vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Mohammed Aliyu
$38 vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

Resolution rules

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.