Sports · 31 markets

Ballon d'Or Top 5 Finish 2026

Vol total$18K

Vol 24h$672

Liquidity$33K

Resolves69d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇦🇷

Lionel Messi

$4K vol·+7%·7d

42.0%

chance

Yes 42¢ · No 58¢

🇪🇸

Lamine Yamal

$2K vol·-19%·7d

75.5%

chance

Yes 76¢ · No 25¢

🇬🇪

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

$1K vol·-1%·7d

49.5%

chance

Yes 50¢ · No 51¢

🇬🇧

Harry Kane

$1K vol·-1%·7d

97.0%

chance

Yes 97¢ · No 3¢

🇲🇦

Achraf Hakimi

$1K vol·-22%·7d

3.7%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🇫🇷

Kylian Mbappé

$1K vol·-16%·7d

78.0%

chance

Yes 78¢ · No 22¢

🇫🇷

Michael Olise

$788 vol·+10%·7d

40.5%

chance

Yes 41¢ · No 60¢

🇫🇷

Ousmane Dembélé

$522 vol·-9%·7d

50.5%

chance

Yes 51¢ · No 50¢

🇪🇸

Rodri

$470 vol·-21%·7d

64.5%

chance

Yes 65¢ · No 36¢

🇫🇷

Desire Doue

$440 vol·-1%·7d

2.5%

chance

Yes 3¢ · No 98¢

🇬🇧

Jude Bellingham

$322 vol·+16%·7d

21.3%

chance

Yes 21¢ · No 79¢

🇳🇴

Erling Haaland

$174 vol·+5%·7d

40.0%

chance

Yes 40¢ · No 60¢

🇪🇸

Fabian Ruiz

$167 vol·+7%·7d

20.0%

chance

Yes 20¢ · No 80¢

🇨🇴

Luis Diaz

$153 vol·+13%·7d

16.9%

chance

Yes 17¢ · No 83¢

🇵🇹

Vitinha

$100 vol·-3%·7d

17.5%

chance

Yes 18¢ · No 83¢

🇬🇧

Cole Palmer

$21 vol·+2%·7d

5.5%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

🇦🇷

Enzo Fernandez

$17 vol·-45%·7d

4.1%

chance

Yes 4¢ · No 96¢

🇪🇸

Pau Cubarsi

$0 vol·-35%·7d

14.5%

chance

Yes 14¢ · No 86¢

🇪🇸

Pedri

$0 vol·-40%·7d

8.1%

chance

Yes 8¢ · No 92¢

🇬🇧

Declan Rice

$0 vol·-19%·7d

31.0%

chance

Yes 31¢ · No 69¢

🇦🇷

Julian Alvarez

$0 vol·-40%·7d

8.1%

chance

Yes 8¢ · No 92¢

🇧🇷

Raphinha

$0 vol·-6%·7d

5.1%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

🇵🇹

Bruno Fernandes

$0 vol·+2%·7d

5.1%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

🇦🇷

Lautaro Martinez

$0 vol

10.5%

chance

Yes 11¢ · No 90¢

🇬🇧

Bukayo Saka

$0 vol·-2%·7d

8.6%

chance

Yes 9¢ · No 91¢

🇺🇾

Federico Valverde

$1K vol·-1%·7d

1.3%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

🇧🇷

Rodrygo

$799 vol·-0%·7d

1.2%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

🇵🇹

Cristiano Ronaldo

$477 vol·-2%·7d

0.9%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

🇭🇺

Dominik Szoboszlai

$442 vol·-2%·7d

0.7%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

🇪🇬

Mohamed Salah

$325 vol·-0%·7d

1.6%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

🇧🇷

Vinícius Júnior

$69 vol·-3%·7d

1.1%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve "No." If more than 5 players tie for the top 5 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official top 5 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final five places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.