Michael Olise wins?
YESMichael Olise wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Sports · 10 markets
Ballon d'Or Top 2 Finish 2026
Most likely: Kylian Mbappé at >99% (up 28.4 points in 24 hours), then Harry Kane at >99% and Michael Olise at 6%.
$107K traded · $34K in 24h · $287K liquidity · resolves in 67 days
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Winner10 questions
Lamine Yamal wins?most traded
YESLamine Yamal wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Kylian Mbappé wins?
YESKylian Mbappé wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Harry Kane wins?
YESHarry Kane wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Lionel Messi wins?
YESLionel Messi wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Rodri wins?
YESRodri wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Ousmane Dembélé wins?
YESOusmane Dembélé wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia wins?
YESKhvicha Kvaratskhelia wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Fabian Ruiz wins?
YESFabian Ruiz wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Erling Haaland wins?
YESErling Haaland wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 2 of the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If more than 2 players tie for the top 2 in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's official top 2 list. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If the award is postponed after November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the final two places have not been determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.