Lamine Yamal is the favorite at 67% (up 2.5 points in 24 hours), then Kylian Mbappé at 13% and Lionel Messi at 6%.
$102K traded · $65K in 24h · $162K liquidity · resolves in 72 days
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Winner30 questions
Lamine Yamal wins?most traded
YESLamine Yamal wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Kylian Mbappé wins?
YESKylian Mbappé wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Ousmane Dembélé wins?
YESOusmane Dembélé wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia wins?
YESKhvicha Kvaratskhelia wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Lionel Messi wins?
YESLionel Messi wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Harry Kane wins?
YESHarry Kane wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Rodri wins?
YESRodri wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Fabian Ruiz wins?
YESFabian Ruiz wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Michael Olise wins?
YESMichael Olise wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Vitinha wins?
YESVitinha wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Vinícius Júnior wins?
YESVinícius Júnior wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Declan Rice wins?
YESDeclan Rice wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Erling Haaland wins?
YESErling Haaland wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Jude Bellingham wins?
YESJude Bellingham wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Lautaro Martinez wins?
YESLautaro Martinez wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Gabriel Magalhães wins?
YESGabriel Magalhães wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Ferran Torres wins?
YESFerran Torres wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Pau Cubarsi wins?
YESPau Cubarsi wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Achraf Hakimi wins?
YESAchraf Hakimi wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Bruno Fernandes wins?
YESBruno Fernandes wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Luis Diaz wins?
YESLuis Diaz wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Marc Cucurella wins?
YESMarc Cucurella wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Marquinhos wins?
YESMarquinhos wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Nuno Mendes wins?
YESNuno Mendes wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
João Neves wins?
YESJoão Neves wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Willian Pacho wins?
YESWillian Pacho wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Julián Quiñones wins?
YESJulián Quiñones wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
William Saliba wins?
YESWilliam Saliba wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Dayot Upamecano wins?
YESDayot Upamecano wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Sadio Mané wins?
YESSadio Mané wins the titleNOAnyone else does
Settles: Official champion.
Resolution rules (source: Polymarket)
This market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 3rd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking.
The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026.
If two or more players are tied for 3rd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name.
If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.