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China Open, Qualification: Adrian Mannarino vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Vol total$558
Vol 24h$558
Liquidity$85K
Resolves8d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Result1 question

Adrian Mannarino win?most traded

YESAdrian Mannarino winNOPablo Carreno Busta win
Settles: Official final score.
Games1 question

24 or more games?

YES24 or more games in totalNO23 or fewer · Exactly 23 counts as No.
Other lines:
Settles: Total games at the final score.
Sets & games5 questions

3 or more sets?

YES3 or more sets in totalNO2 or fewer · Exactly 2 counts as No.
Settles: Total sets at the final score.

Set 1: Adrian Mannarino wins?

YESAdrian Mannarino wins set 1NOPablo Carreno Busta wins set 1
Settles: Winner of set 1.

Set 2: Adrian Mannarino wins?

YESAdrian Mannarino wins set 2NOPablo Carreno Busta wins set 2
Settles: Winner of set 2.

Pablo Carreno Busta win by 2 or more sets?

YESPablo Carreno Busta win by 2+ setsNOPablo Carreno Busta win by less or lose
Settles: Final margin of victory.

Pablo Carreno Busta win by 3 or more games?

YESPablo Carreno Busta win by 3+ gamesNOPablo Carreno Busta win by less or lose
Settles: Final margin of victory.
Halves & periods2 questions

Set 1: 10 or more sets?

YES10 or more sets in totalNO9 or fewer · Exactly 9 counts as No.
Other lines:
Settles: Total sets in the set 1 only.

Set 2: 9 or more games?

YES9 or more games in totalNO8 or fewer · Exactly 8 counts as No.
Other lines:
Settles: Total games in the set 2 only.
Moments1 question

Match played to the end?

YESNo retirement or walkoverNORetirement or walkover
Settles: Whether the match is completed.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Pablo Carreno Busta in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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