All predictions

Tech & AI · Ends Nov 30

When will Anthropic hold its IPO?

Anthropic's first public sale of shares on a stock exchange happens on one date, or not by Nov 30, 2026.

On Polymarket as “Anthropic IPO Date”

What do you think happens?

Only one of these will happen. YES = it happens · NO = it doesn't.

Nov 20▲ 1 today
Nov 19
No IPO by Nov 30, 2026▼ 3 today
Nov 18
Nov 24
Nov 23
Nov 16▲ 2 today
Nov 25▼ 3 today
Nov 17
Nov 13 or earlier
Show 2 more under 1%
Nov 27
Nov 30

Your money, explained

Put $10 on “Nov 20” at 25% → if it happens you get $40.82 (+$30.82). If it doesn't, you lose the $10 — never more. You can sell any time before it ends, at that moment's price.

How it's decided

The relevant exchange's official listing page settles it, with dates in Eastern Time, through Nov 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Full rules (source: Polymarket)This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that Anthropic launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). An IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. If no IPO occurs by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by November 30, 2026". The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$130K traded since it opened · $27K today

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.