All events
Politics · 3 markets

Another Iranian diplomat expelled by...?

Vol total$763
Vol 24h$763
Liquidity$10K
Resolves73d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
August 31
$703 vol
5.3%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🍂
September 30
$40 vol
47.0%
chance
Yes 47¢ · No 53¢
🎃
October 31
$20 vol
54.0%
chance
Yes 54¢ · No 46¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any country expels the Iranian Ambassador stationed in that country as of market creation between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by a country requiring the Iranian Ambassador currently stationed there as of market creation to leave the country, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to that country will not alone suffice. An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant country’s government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.