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Tech & AI · 7 markets

Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$240
Liquidity$28K
Resolves120d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
$2.50-$3.00T
$752 vol·-2%·7d
32.5%
chance
Yes 33¢ · No 68¢
🎯
$2.00-$2.50T
$321 vol·+6%·7d
22.0%
chance
Yes 22¢ · No 78¢
🎯
<$2.00T
$263 vol·+2%·7d
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
$4.50T+
$259 vol·-1%·7d
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
📊
$3.50-$4.00T
$245 vol·-7%·7d
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🎯
$3.00-$3.50T
$195 vol·-1%·7d
25.0%
chance
Yes 25¢ · No 75¢
📊
$4.00-$4.50T
$179 vol·-0%·7d
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to Amazon's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026. If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.