All events
Politics · 8 markets

Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

Vol total$6K
Vol 24h$291
Liquidity$48K
Resolves50d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
305K-320K
$2K vol·+2%·7d
16.5%
chance
Yes 17¢ · No 84¢
🎯
290K-305K
$1K vol·+28%·7d
42.0%
chance
Yes 42¢ · No 58¢
🎯
275K-290K
$1K vol·-2%·7d
35.0%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 65¢
🎯
260K-275K
$563 vol·-11%·7d
6.7%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🎯
320K+
$458 vol·-3%·7d
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
245K-260K
$450 vol·-5%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🎯
230K-245K
$434 vol·-7%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
<230K
$432 vol·-8%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.