Tech & AI · 12 markets

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 5?

Vol total$612

Vol 24h$612

Liquidity$440

Resolves8d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first12 questions

Will Anthropic have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 13, 2026.

Will xAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 13, 2026.

Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 13, 2026.

Will Nvidia have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 13, 2026.

Will MiniMax have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 13, 2026.

Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 13, 2026.

Will Meta have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 13, 2026.

Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 13, 2026.

Will Z.ai have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 13, 2026.

Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 13, 2026.

Will Qwen have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 13, 2026.

Will Xiaomi have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Oct 13, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026 once the figures for the week of October 12, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of October 12, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on October 16, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of October 5 to October 11, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.