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Tech & AI · 12 markets

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of August 31?

Vol total$639
Vol 24h$639
Liquidity$868
Resolves4d

Outcomes · most likely first

🧠
OpenAI
$132 vol
64.5%
chance
Yes 65¢ · No 36¢
🇨🇳
Tencent
$116 vol
11.0%
chance
Yes 11¢ · No 89¢
🇨🇳
DeepSeek
$108 vol
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
💚
Nvidia
$91 vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
xAI
$66 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🤖
Z.ai
$18 vol
20.0%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 80¢
🇨🇳
Xiaomi
$18 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🔵
Google
$18 vol
15.0%
chance
Yes 15¢ · No 85¢
🤖
Anthropic
$18 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$18 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Qwen
$18 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
👁️
Meta
$18 vol
5.0%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to the AI lab with the third highest market share on OpenRouter for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. A lab's market share is the percentage displayed for that lab in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage, for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. The "stealth" and "others" groupings are not labs; if either occupies the relevant rank, it will be skipped and the next ranked lab will be used. This market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 once the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 are first displayed. If the figures for the week of September 7, 2026 have not been displayed by 11:59 PM ET on September 11, 2026, this market will resolve according to the figures displayed for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time. If no data is available for the week of August 31 to September 6, 2026 at that time, this market will resolve to "Other". The AI labs will be primarily ranked by the percentage displayed in the Market Share chart, set to Percentage. If two or more labs are tied on market share in percentage terms, the lab with the larger token count displayed in the Absolute view of the chart will be ranked higher. If a tie still remains, the lab whose listed name comes first alphabetically will be ranked higher. This market will resolve to the AI lab ranked 3rd after applying this ranking. The resolution source for this market is https://openrouter.ai/rankings.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.