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Tech & AI · 21 markets

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Vol total$2K
Vol 24h$2K
Liquidity$5K
Resolves91d
Your bet
Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.
Outcomes · most likely first21 questions

Will Amazon be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Tencent be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will ByteDance be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Xiaomi be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will MiniMax be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Thinky be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Microsoft be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Mistral be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Nvidia be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Alibaba be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will SpaceXAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Z.ai be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Baidu be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will Meituan be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will StepFun be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Will DeepSeek be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't
Settles: Official result · closes Jan 1, 2027.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

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