Tech & AI · 11 markets

2nd richest person on December 31?

Vol total$48K

Vol 24h$1K

Liquidity$4K

Resolves102d

Your bet$

Every card is one question. Tap Yes if you think it happens, No if you don't. Each button shows the chance the market gives it, what your $10 becomes if you're right (stake included), and the profit. Wrong = you lose your $10, never more. No is everything that isn't Yes.

Outcomes · most likely first11 questions

Will Larry Page be 2nd richest person on December 31?most traded

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 3, 2027.

Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 3, 2027.

Will Sergey Brin be 2nd richest person on December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 3, 2027.

Will Warren Buffett be 2nd richest person on December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 3, 2027.

Will Jensen Huang be 2nd richest person on December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 3, 2027.

Will Steve Ballmer be 2nd richest person on December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 3, 2027.

Will Larry Ellison be 2nd richest person on December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 3, 2027.

Will Bernard Arnault be 2nd richest person on December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 3, 2027.

Will Elon Musk be 2nd richest person on December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 3, 2027.

Will Mark Zuckerberg be 2nd richest person on December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Jan 3, 2027.

Will Michael Dell be 2nd richest person on December 31?

YESIt happensNOIt doesn't

Settles: Official result · closes Mar 31, 2026.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #2 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.