All events
Tech & AI · 21 markets

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Vol total$3K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$9K
Resolves74d

Outcomes · most likely first

👁️
Meta
$398 vol
27.0%
chance
Yes 27¢ · No 73¢
🔵
Google
$347 vol
29.0%
chance
Yes 29¢ · No 71¢
🇨🇳
Tencent
$216 vol
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🇨🇳
DeepSeek
$203 vol
8.0%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🇨🇳
Alibaba
$137 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🇨🇳
Baidu
$137 vol
2.1%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🤖
Anthropic
$135 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🤖
Z.ai
$134 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🧠
OpenAI
$115 vol
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$113 vol
4.7%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇨🇳
Meituan
$93 vol
4.6%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🇫🇷
Mistral
$93 vol
8.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🛒
Amazon
$93 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🪟
Microsoft
$93 vol
4.1%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🌙
Moonshot
$93 vol
7.8%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 92¢
🇨🇳
Xiaomi
$93 vol
4.5%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 96¢
📱
ByteDance
$93 vol
6.3%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$93 vol
9.2%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
💚
Nvidia
$93 vol
6.0%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇨🇳
StepFun
$93 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 98¢
🎯
Thinky
$88 vol
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.