Politics · 7 markets

York—Simcoe Provincial By-Election Winner

Vol total$4K

Vol 24h$4K

Liquidity$88K

Resolves15d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

Susan Lahey

$2K vol

97.5%

chance

Yes 98¢ · No 2¢

🎯

Naomi Davison

$739 vol

1.9%

chance

Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

🎯

Gerald Auger

$367 vol

0.5%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 100¢

🎯

Sean Conroy

$360 vol

0.5%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 100¢

🎯

Bobby Nikmard

$354 vol

0.5%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 100¢

🎯

David Ghobrial

$281 vol

0.5%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 100¢

🎯

Matt Pearce

$169 vol

0.5%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

A by-election for the Ontario provincial electoral district of York—Simcoe is currently scheduled to be held on September 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 York—Simcoe provincial by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Ontario (https://www.elections.on.ca/).