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Politics · 5 markets

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by September 25?

Vol total$421
Vol 24h$298
Liquidity$537
Resolves41d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
280M
$370 vol
95.5%
chance
Yes 96¢ · No 5¢
🎯
250M
$51 vol
35.0%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 65¢
🎯
270M
$0 vol
49.5%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 51¢
🎯
260M
$0 vol
43.5%
chance
Yes 44¢ · No 56¢
🎯
200M
$0 vol
20.0%
chance
Yes 20¢ · No 80¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value after market creation for any week ending on or before September 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before September 25, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on September 25, 2026, by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.

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