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Politics · 5 markets

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?

Vol total$51K
Vol 24h$697
Liquidity$21K
Resolves22d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
285M
$30K vol·+41%·7d
70.5%
chance
Yes 71¢ · No 30¢
🎯
270M
$8K vol·+1%·7d
2.1%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🎯
255M
$5K vol·+0%·7d
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
240M
$2K vol
0.7%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
225M
$855 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. Energy Information Administration publishes a weekly figure for U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve less than or equal to the specified value for any week ending on or before August 28, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve as soon as the listed value is reached, or once data has been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, and the listed value has not been reached. If data has not been released for the final week ending on or before August 28, 2026, by September 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the data available at that time. The primary resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Energy Information Administration, specifically the weekly data published for the U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve at https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=WCSSTUS1&f=W. Note: this market’s resolution source publishes weekly values of U.S. Ending Stocks of Crude Oil in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve in thousands of barrels. Thus, this will be the level of specificity used to resolve this market.