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Tech & AI · binary

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

Vol total$7K
Vol 24h$55
Liquidity$3K
Resolves123d

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Prediction

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

Your pick: Yes — each share pays $1 if Yes wins.

Bets from $1 · deposits start at $3.

SideYes
Price$0.1750
Shares (est)28.57
Spend$5.00
Capital back$5.00
Profit if Yes wins+$23.57
If Yes wins pays$28.57
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Price history+1.00% · 1W
15%17%19%21%24%Aug 24Aug 25Aug 27Aug 28Aug 30Aug 31

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.