All events
Other · 3 markets

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by...?

Vol total$7K
Vol 24h$7K
Liquidity$14K
Resolves304d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
June 30, 2027
$6K vol·-42%·7d
9.5%
chance
Yes 10¢ · No 91¢
🎯
December 31, 2026
$1K vol·+1%·7d
7.0%
chance
Yes 7¢ · No 93¢
🎯
September 30, 2026
$26 vol·+0%·7d
6.3%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.

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