Tech & AI · 4 markets

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

Vol total$152K

Vol 24h$364

Liquidity$5K

Resolves41d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

1520

$28K vol·-8%·7d

14.0%

chance

Yes 14¢ · No 86¢

🎯

1530

$21K vol·-6%·7d

4.5%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 96¢

🎯

1540

$11K vol·-4%·7d

5.0%

chance

Yes 5¢ · No 95¢

🎯

1550

$12K vol·-5%·7d

1.5%

chance

Yes 1¢ · No 99¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".