All events
Politics · 8 markets

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Vol total$19.9M
Vol 24h$321K
Liquidity$2.0M
Resolves32d

Outcomes · most likely first

🇷🇺
United Russia (ER)
$6.9M vol·+5%·7d
70.5%
chance
Yes 71¢ · No 30¢
🇷🇺
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$3.2M vol·+1%·7d
6.2%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🇷🇺
New People (NL)
$2.1M vol·-8%·7d
19.3%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 81¢
🇷🇺
Rodina
$2.4M vol·-0%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇷🇺
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$1.5M vol·+0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇷🇺
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$1.3M vol·-0%·7d
1.6%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇷🇺
Civic Platform (GP)
$1.3M vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Yabloko
$1.2M vol·-0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.