All events
Tech & AI · 21 markets

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of September?

Vol total$26K
Vol 24h$428
Liquidity$14K
Resolves42d

Outcomes · most likely first

🤖
Anthropic
$8K vol·-13%·7d
53.5%
chance
Yes 54¢ · No 47¢
🧠
OpenAI
$6K vol·+10%·7d
39.5%
chance
Yes 40¢ · No 61¢
🛍️
Alibaba
$734 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🍜
Meituan
$719 vol·-0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌪️
Mistral
$714 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔍
Google
$692 vol·+1%·7d
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
📦
Amazon
$686 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🤖
Z.ai
$660 vol·-0%·7d
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
👥
Meta
$652 vol·-0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$650 vol·-0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Thinky
$648 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$640 vol·-0%·7d
0.9%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🇨🇳
Tencent
$616 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
Xiaomi
$600 vol·-1%·7d
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌙
Moonshot
$597 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🪟
Microsoft
$584 vol·-2%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🟢
Nvidia
$571 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔷
DeepSeek
$550 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔎
Baidu
$546 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
📱
ByteDance
$510 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
StepFun
$488 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”