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Tech & AI · 21 markets

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of August?

Vol total$20K
Vol 24h$237
Liquidity$10K
Resolves13d

Outcomes · most likely first

🤖
Anthropic
$8K vol·+13%·7d
95.0%
chance
Yes 95¢ · No 5¢
🧠
OpenAI
$2K vol·-9%·7d
2.8%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$716 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔷
DeepSeek
$688 vol·-1%·7d
0.8%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🛍️
Alibaba
$624 vol·-0%·7d
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
📱
ByteDance
$615 vol·+0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🤖
Z.ai
$594 vol·-1%·7d
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$579 vol·+1%·7d
1.5%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 99¢
👥
Meta
$573 vol·+1%·7d
1.9%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🌪️
Mistral
$573 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
StepFun
$569 vol·+1%·7d
1.9%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇨🇳
Tencent
$559 vol·+0%·7d
0.7%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
📦
Amazon
$538 vol·+1%·7d
0.8%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🍜
Meituan
$537 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
Xiaomi
$530 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔎
Baidu
$526 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🟢
Nvidia
$516 vol
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌙
Moonshot
$514 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Thinky
$505 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔍
Google
$500 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🪟
Microsoft
$374 vol·+0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on August 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”