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Tech & AI · 21 markets

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of September?

Vol total$22K
Vol 24h$931
Liquidity$18K
Resolves43d

Outcomes · most likely first

🧠
OpenAI
$7K vol·+3%·7d
66.5%
chance
Yes 67¢ · No 34¢
🤖
Anthropic
$4K vol·-9%·7d
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢
🟢
Nvidia
$668 vol·+5%·7d
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
📦
Amazon
$630 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$615 vol·-2%·7d
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌪️
Mistral
$593 vol·+0%·7d
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎯
Thinky
$589 vol
1.0%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
📱
ByteDance
$582 vol
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🛍️
Alibaba
$580 vol·+0%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
Tencent
$579 vol·-0%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🌙
Moonshot
$575 vol·+1%·7d
1.6%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🇨🇳
StepFun
$570 vol
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔍
Google
$569 vol·+0%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🍜
Meituan
$544 vol
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$542 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🔎
Baidu
$539 vol·-0%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
👥
Meta
$529 vol·-0%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🪟
Microsoft
$525 vol·+0%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔷
DeepSeek
$524 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
Xiaomi
$522 vol·+0%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🤖
Z.ai
$519 vol
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”