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Tech & AI · 21 markets

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Vol total$11K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$27K
Resolves72d

Outcomes · most likely first

🤖
Anthropic
$2K vol·+12%·7d
46.0%
chance
Yes 46¢ · No 54¢
🧠
OpenAI
$1K vol·+14%·7d
53.5%
chance
Yes 54¢ · No 47¢
🤖
Z.ai
$643 vol·-9%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
📦
Amazon
$477 vol·-4%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🪟
Microsoft
$476 vol·-9%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$467 vol·-3%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🔷
DeepSeek
$461 vol·-10%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🌪️
Mistral
$456 vol·-5%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔍
Google
$450 vol·-7%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
👥
Meta
$447 vol·-2%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
StepFun
$441 vol·-4%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🛍️
Alibaba
$436 vol·-5%·7d
0.4%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
📱
ByteDance
$436 vol·-5%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Thinky
$436 vol·-5%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$436 vol·-4%·7d
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
Tencent
$339 vol·-9%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔎
Baidu
$324 vol·-4%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🟢
Nvidia
$286 vol·-4%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🍜
Meituan
$283 vol·-11%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌙
Moonshot
$253 vol·-4%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
Xiaomi
$253 vol·-9%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”