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Tech & AI · 21 markets

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

Vol total$39K
Vol 24h$596
Liquidity$17K
Resolves43d

Outcomes · most likely first

🤖
Anthropic
$11K vol·+11%·7d
63.0%
chance
Yes 63¢ · No 37¢
🧠
OpenAI
$11K vol·+13%·7d
31.0%
chance
Yes 31¢ · No 69¢
👥
Meta
$2K vol·-4%·7d
0.6%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$1K vol·+1%·7d
1.9%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🟢
Nvidia
$1K vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🍜
Meituan
$1K vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
Tencent
$937 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🤖
Z.ai
$936 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$873 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
📦
Amazon
$860 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
📱
ByteDance
$847 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
StepFun
$839 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
Xiaomi
$838 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🎯
Thinky
$811 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔷
DeepSeek
$810 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌙
Moonshot
$791 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🛍️
Alibaba
$777 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔎
Baidu
$517 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌪️
Mistral
$428 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🔍
Google
$378 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🪟
Microsoft
$348 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Coding score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on September 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET. Results from the “Coding” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Coding, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Coding,” will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”