All events
Tech & AI · 18 markets

Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

Vol total$36K
Vol 24h$207
Liquidity$13K
Resolves41d

Outcomes · most likely first

🤖
Anthropic
$21K vol·+2%·7d
75.5%
chance
Yes 76¢ · No 25¢
🧠
OpenAI
$6K vol·+1%·7d
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🚀
SpaceXAI
$747 vol·-4%·7d
2.8%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
👥
Meta
$671 vol·-0%·7d
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🇨🇳
MiniMax
$580 vol·+0%·7d
2.5%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🪟
Microsoft
$510 vol·-0%·7d
2.3%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢
🌙
Moonshot
$571 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🔎
Baidu
$570 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🍜
Meituan
$565 vol·-0%·7d
0.3%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🟢
Nvidia
$535 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
📱
ByteDance
$533 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🇨🇳
Xiaomi
$519 vol·-0%·7d
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🌪️
Mistral
$514 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🤖
Z.ai
$513 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🛍️
Alibaba
$508 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🔍
Google
$508 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
🔷
DeepSeek
$508 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢
📦
Amazon
$507 vol·-0%·7d
0.2%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the Agent Arena Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent) when the table under "Agent Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.