Politics · 13 markets

Which bills will become law in 2026?

Vol total$155K

Vol 24h$344

Liquidity$22K

Resolves134d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯

FISA Section 702 reauthorization

$102K vol·-8%·7d

14.0%

chance

Yes 14¢ · No 86¢

🎯

Smithsonian Women’s History Museum

$3K vol·-0%·7d

6.0%

chance

Yes 6¢ · No 94¢

🎯

Trump Airport

$2K vol·+1%·7d

7.6%

chance

Yes 8¢ · No 92¢

🎯

$2.50 Coin

$404 vol

9.0%

chance

Yes 9¢ · No 91¢

🎯

Export-control chip security

$349 vol·+21%·7d

48.0%

chance

Yes 48¢ · No 52¢

🎯

SHOWER Act

$311 vol·+4%·7d

44.0%

chance

Yes 44¢ · No 56¢

🎯

SELF DRIVE Act

$186 vol·+38%·7d

41.3%

chance

Yes 41¢ · No 59¢

🎯

Critical-minerals stockpile

$178 vol·-2%·7d

42.0%

chance

Yes 42¢ · No 58¢

🎯

Credit-card routing competition

$163 vol·+18%·7d

28.3%

chance

Yes 28¢ · No 72¢

🎯

Film/TV production expensing

$126 vol·+7%·7d

46.0%

chance

Yes 46¢ · No 54¢

🎯

Data center utility cost protection

$112 vol·+8%·7d

48.0%

chance

Yes 48¢ · No 52¢

🎯

AI-chip export licensing

$77 vol·+3%·7d

47.5%

chance

Yes 48¢ · No 53¢

🎯

DEFIANCE Act

$63 vol·+5%·7d

49.5%

chance

Yes 50¢ · No 51¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if X is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation includes Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.