All events
Climate · 15 markets

Where will it rain on August 31?

Vol total$3K
Vol 24h$3K
Liquidity$4K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🚀
Houston, TX
$522 vol
60.0%
chance
Yes 60¢ · No 40¢
🏛️
Washington, DC
$459 vol
51.0%
chance
Yes 51¢ · No 49¢
Dallas, TX
$153 vol
3.0%
chance
Yes 3¢ · No 97¢
🏛️
Boston, MA
$135 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🌴
Los Angeles, CA
$117 vol
3.8%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🍑
Atlanta, GA
$109 vol
3.5%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🌧️
Seattle, WA
$96 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🔔
Philadelphia, PA
$87 vol
35.0%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 65¢
🌊
Miami, FL
$67 vol
49.5%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 51¢
🏔️
Denver, CO
$55 vol
70.5%
chance
Yes 71¢ · No 30¢
🌉
San Francisco, CA
$46 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🗽
New York, NY
$21 vol
75.0%
chance
Yes 75¢ · No 25¢
🎷
New Orleans, LA
$384 vol
99.5%
chance
Yes 99¢ · No 1¢
🌵
Phoenix, AZ
$275 vol
99.5%
chance
Yes 99¢ · No 1¢
🌆
Chicago, IL
$71 vol
99.5%
chance
Yes 99¢ · No 1¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on August 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.