All events
Climate · 15 markets

Where will it rain on August 21?

Vol total$532
Vol 24h$535
Liquidity$202
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
Los Angeles, CA
$150 vol
4.0%
chance
Yes 4¢ · No 96¢
🎯
San Francisco, CA
$115 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
🏛️
Boston, MA
$53 vol
84.5%
chance
Yes 85¢ · No 16¢
🔔
Philadelphia, PA
$50 vol
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🏛️
Washington, DC
$50 vol
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🌧️
Seattle, WA
$44 vol
17.5%
chance
Yes 18¢ · No 83¢
🗽
New York, NY
$40 vol
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🎯
Phoenix, AZ
$30 vol
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🌆
Chicago, IL
$0 vol
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🎯
Houston, TX
$0 vol
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🎯
Dallas, TX
$0 vol
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🏔️
Denver, CO
$0 vol
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🎯
Atlanta, GA
$0 vol
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🎯
Miami, FL
$0 vol
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢
🎷
New Orleans, LA
$0 vol
50.0%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 50¢

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" for each listed city that records measurable precipitation on August 21, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for each station: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. Each city is an independent market. Any number of cities may resolve "Yes", including all of them or none of them. Resolution is based on the station's first published precipitation figure for the day. Subsequent revisions or corrections to the published data will not be considered; the first published value is final. If no figure has been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for each city's station.