All events
Politics · 17 markets

What will Trump say during Rose Garden event?

Vol total$10K
Vol 24h$10K
Liquidity$11K
Resolves1d

Outcomes · most likely first

🛢️
Oil / Gas / Gasoline
$786 vol
39.0%
chance
Yes 39¢ · No 61¢
🇺🇸
MAGA / Make America Great Again
$650 vol
43.0%
chance
Yes 43¢ · No 57¢
🚧
Border
$360 vol
40.8%
chance
Yes 41¢ · No 59¢
🫏
Democrat 5+ times
$332 vol
36.5%
chance
Yes 37¢ · No 64¢
🏫
Private School
$212 vol
43.0%
chance
Yes 43¢ · No 57¢
🏫
High School
$162 vol
42.5%
chance
Yes 43¢ · No 57¢
Women's Sports
$1K vol
99.8%
chance
Yes 100¢ · No 0¢
🎓
Scholarship
$1K vol
99.8%
chance
Yes 100¢ · No 0¢
🤖
AI / Artificial Intelligence
$1K vol
99.8%
chance
Yes 100¢ · No 0¢
👶
Child / Children 5+ times
$857 vol
99.5%
chance
Yes 100¢ · No 1¢
🎯
-No Qualifying Event-
$667 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$610 vol
0.1%
chance
Yes 0¢ · No 100¢
🏳️‍⚧️
Transgender
$585 vol
100.0%
chance
Yes 100¢ · No 0¢
Beautiful 10+ times
$484 vol
1.1%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 99¢
🎓
College
$341 vol
100.0%
chance
Yes 100¢ · No 0¢
🏁
Race / Indy
$247 vol
99.5%
chance
Yes 100¢ · No 1¢
⚖️
Supreme Court
$225 vol
0.5%
chance
Yes 1¢ · No 100¢

Resolution rules

Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Rose Garden event on August 24, 2026. (https://www.forth.news/whpool/CeLfXXEAoy7wrwLxEKJd5). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's Rose Garden event on August 24, 2026 (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf