All events
Crypto · 9 markets

What will the Bitcoin Implied Volatility index hit by September 30?

Vol total$565
Vol 24h$565
Liquidity$290
Resolves30d

Outcomes · most likely first

🎯
↑ 40
$565 vol
96.5%
chance
Yes 97¢ · No 3¢
🎯
↑ 70
$0 vol
5.5%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 95¢
🎯
↑ 60
$0 vol
13.5%
chance
Yes 14¢ · No 87¢
🎯
↑ 55
$0 vol
28.0%
chance
Yes 28¢ · No 72¢
🎯
↑ 50
$0 vol
45.0%
chance
Yes 45¢ · No 55¢
🎯
↑ 45
$0 vol
46.5%
chance
Yes 47¢ · No 54¢
🎯
↓ 35
$0 vol
50.5%
chance
Yes 51¢ · No 50¢
🎯
↓ 30
$0 vol
49.5%
chance
Yes 50¢ · No 51¢
🎯
↓ 25
$0 vol
2.1%
chance
Yes 2¢ · No 98¢

Resolution rules

This market will immediately resolve to “Yes” if any Volmex 1 minute candle for the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index (BVIV) between the creation of this market and 23:59 ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” or “Low” value equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is Volmex, specifically the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index “High” and “Low” values available at https://charts.volmex.finance/symbol/BVIV, with the chart settings on “1m” for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the data from the Bitcoin Volmex Implied Volatility 30 Day Index chart. Values from other exchanges or different indexes will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Vectorial Data aggregates publicly available market data. We are not affiliated with any exchange or venue and do not custody funds. All probabilities, prices, funding rates, and resolutions shown are sourced from public on-chain APIs and may be delayed or revised. Markets and tokens shown are speculative — past performance does not predict future results, calibration metrics describe historical accuracy and do not guarantee future calibration. Nothing on this site is financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.