Politics · 20 markets
What will Kevin Warsh say during his speech at Jackson Hole?
Vol total$16K
Vol 24h$16K
Liquidity$16K
Resolves10d
Outcomes · most likely first
🎯
Challenge
$2K vol
72.5%
chance
Yes 73¢ · No 28¢
🎯
Good Day
$2K vol
35.0%
chance
Yes 35¢ · No 65¢
🎯
AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times
$1K vol
61.0%
chance
Yes 61¢ · No 39¢
🎯
Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency
$1K vol
20.5%
chance
Yes 21¢ · No 80¢
🎯
2008 / Financial Crisis
$970 vol
48.5%
chance
Yes 49¢ · No 52¢
⚙️
Productivity
$922 vol
78.5%
chance
Yes 79¢ · No 22¢
🏆
Gold
$920 vol
9.0%
chance
Yes 9¢ · No 91¢
🎯
Prediction / Predictive
$886 vol
42.5%
chance
Yes 43¢ · No 57¢
🇺🇸
Trump
$765 vol
4.8%
chance
Yes 5¢ · No 95¢
🎯
Framework
$755 vol
74.0%
chance
Yes 74¢ · No 26¢
🎯
Regime
$708 vol
67.0%
chance
Yes 67¢ · No 33¢
🎯
Task Force 5+ times
$620 vol
22.5%
chance
Yes 23¢ · No 78¢
🎯
CapEx / Capital Expenditure
$615 vol
50.5%
chance
Yes 51¢ · No 50¢
🎯
Integrity
$511 vol
43.5%
chance
Yes 44¢ · No 56¢
🎯
Good Morning
$430 vol
59.0%
chance
Yes 59¢ · No 41¢
🎯
Stable 5+ times
$374 vol
18.5%
chance
Yes 19¢ · No 82¢
🎯
-No Qualifying Event-
$297 vol
6.1%
chance
Yes 6¢ · No 94¢
🎯
Independent / Independence
$181 vol
65.0%
chance
Yes 65¢ · No 35¢
🎯
Bank / Asset 10+ times
$110 vol
35.5%
chance
Yes 36¢ · No 65¢
🎯
Too Late
$100 vol
7.5%
chance
Yes 8¢ · No 93¢
Resolution rules
Kevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf